Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.135625 0.198569 0.271287 0.359255 0.460819 0.572725 0.703785
2026-01-18 0.063029 0.138886 0.242734 0.383278 0.559307 0.765321 1.018327
2026-01-25 0.028410 0.100194 0.215861 0.386531 0.612280 0.886357 1.232117
2026-02-01 0.006308 0.060406 0.173214 0.358365 0.618201 0.945489 1.369077
2026-02-08 0.000005 0.030898 0.132397 0.322069 0.605338 0.975116 1.465121
2026-02-15 NaN 0.017010 0.111746 0.310627 0.622322 1.039824 1.602173
2026-02-22 NaN 0.010561 0.103356 0.316822 0.662839 1.134310 1.776070
2026-03-01 NaN 0.005023 0.091167 0.313449 0.687658 1.207001 1.921779
2026-03-08 NaN 0.001037 0.073901 0.296414 0.689465 1.247187 2.024807
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000704 0.077915 0.322358 0.758189 1.379186 2.247098
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000477 0.082256 0.349033 0.828266 1.513370 2.472695
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000114 0.081381 0.364051 0.879736 1.621918 2.665146
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000114 0.089327 0.400582 0.968819 1.786884 2.936974
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000024 0.092578 0.427009 1.042512 1.931700 3.184227
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.086069 0.430214 1.078056 2.022903 3.360938
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.067230 0.400388 1.057524 2.034212 3.431785
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.047749 0.361763 1.018716 2.017313 3.463529
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.039127 0.349571 1.023604 2.062000 3.576451
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.036800 0.356175 1.061563 2.154809 3.754217
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.031851 0.352580 1.080689 2.219824 3.894424
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.023822 0.334403 1.071907 2.242977 3.977453
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.027305 0.362074 1.148804 2.393846 4.234779
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.031011 0.390459 1.227069 2.546875 4.495256